World Nagorno-Karabakh: "We are witnessing the last stages of this war"

23:05  27 october  2020
23:05  27 october  2020 Source:   rfi.fr

Cease-fire not respected in Nagorno-Karabakh: whose fault is it?

 Cease-fire not respected in Nagorno-Karabakh: whose fault is it? © Provided by Le Point Armenia, Karabakh, conflict For Azerbaijan , it is the fault of Armenia . For Armenia, it is Azerbaijan's fault. While an humanitarian truce should have taken place this Sunday, October 18, , in Nagorno-Karabakh, each returned the responsibility. The Azerbaijani Defense Ministry claimed that the Armenian forces "blatantly broke the new agreement", denouncing enemy artillery fire.

Listen now. The Nagorno - Karabakh war. Witness History. In April 1993, the Azerbaijani town of Kalbajar fell to ethnic Armenian separatists during the war over the disputed enclave of Nagorno - Karabakh . Last on. Tue 4 Apr 2017 07:50GMT. BBC World Service except News Internet.

Nagorno - Karabakh is recognised internationally as part of Azerbaijan but is under ethnic Armenian control. Clashes that began in the region in September quickly escalated into a large-scale conflict, with the shelling of towns and cities and the alleged use of banned cluster munitions.

Un soldat arménien sur la ligne de front, le 21 octobre 2020. © AP Photo An Armenian soldier on the front line, October 21, 2020.

Armenia has admitted losing control of the strategic city of Goubadly in the south of Nagorno-Karabakh. Azerbaijani forces are closing in on the Lachin Corridor, the vital road that connects Nagorno-Karabakh with Armenia. RFI asked Paul Stronski, geopolitics and security specialist in the Eurasia program at the Carnegie Foundation, three questions about the challenges of this military maneuver.

RFI : What does the loss of the city of Goubadly represent for the Armenians of Nagorno Karabakh ?

Paul Stronski: Things are not going very well for Armenia at the moment in this Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. We have seen that the Azerbaijani forces are approaching the Armenian and Iranian borders to the south. It is a border which is controlled by Russian forces. There is a skillful southward maneuver by the Azerbaijani army and an recapture of several territories that were previously under the control of Armenia. And now that she has regained control of it, she begins to move north. And I think Goubadly was one of the last major cities controlled by Armenian forces before the Lachin Corridor, the vital road that connects Nagorno-Karabakh with Armenia. The withdrawal of Armenian forces from Goubadly shows that Armenia absolutely wants to protect this artery, while Azerbaijan wants to surround this region of Nagorno-Karabakh and corner Armenians. We are witnessing the final stages of this war after several weeks of conflict.

Nagorno-Karabakh fighting raises threat of escalation

  Nagorno-Karabakh fighting raises threat of escalation YEREVAN, Armenia (AP) — Heavy fighting over Nagorno-Karabakh continued Thursday with Armenia and Azerbaijan trading blame for new attacks, hostilities that raised the threat of Turkey and Russia being drawn into the conflict. Azerbaijan's Defense Ministry accused Armenia of firing several ballistic missiles from its territory at the Azerbaijani cities of Gabala, Siyazan and Kurdamir, which are located far from the area of fighting in Nagorno-Karabakh. It said there were no casuaLties.The Armenian military rejected the claim as a “cynical lie.

A brief overview of the recent developments in the ongoing Armenian-Azerbaijani war: The US Embassy in Azerbaijan warned US citizens living in Baku about the threat of terrorism and Azerbaijani President claimed its forces destroyed 6 S-300 systems in the Nagorno - Karabakh conflict.

" Nagorno - Karabakh is our land," Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev said in a televised address to the nation on Sunday, as he demanded Armenia apologise to his country and provide a timetable for their withdrawal. " This is the end. We showed them who we are .

Read also: Nagorno-Karabakh, the unrecognized powder keg of the Caucasus

Does this new conquest give Azerbaijan negotiating power?

Azerbaijan could certainly use this maneuver to put pressure on Armenia. If you listen to the recent speeches of Ilham Aliev, the President of Azerbaijan, he says he wants to take back all the territories he feels he has lost and, according to him, there is no diplomatic solution to this conflict. We have seen how three powers, Russia, France, and the United States, attempted to negotiate a ceasefire. And all three attempts failed after just a few hours. It doesn't look like Armenia and Azerbaijan want to negotiate. The problem for Armenians is that Nikol Pashinian's government could have a lot of problems inside the country if it loses this war. So the Armenians will certainly try to retaliate. In the past, all these enclaves gave Armenia negotiating power over Azerbaijan in order to secure some kind of autonomy for Nagorno-Karabakh. In previous negotiations, Armenia has indicated its agreement to cede those occupied territories around Nagorno-Karabakh in exchange for the Lachin Corridor and for self-government and de facto independence for the region. But now that they have lost these territories, their bargaining power has greatly diminished.

Turkey's Erdogan has been humiliating Putin all year — here's how he did it

  Turkey's Erdogan has been humiliating Putin all year — here's how he did it Turkey has been backing forces in Syria, Libya, and Nagorno-Karabakh that have pushed back and beat Russia's advances.Most recently Turkey backed Azerbaijan's fight against Russia-backed Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh. The region is a remnant of the Soviet Union's collapse and is based in Azerbaijan, but has a largely ethnic Armenian population and leadership.

The fighting is concentrated around Nagorno - Karabakh , a mostly Armenian-populated enclave within internationally recognised Azerbaijani borders. The Yerevan-backed region unilaterally broke away from Baku’s control following a bloody war in the early 1990s. As a result, Azerbaijan accuses Armenia of

2020 Nagorno - Karabakh War is within the scope of WikiProject Armenia, an attempt to improve and As Azerbaijan and Artkash have both declared a state of war, this is a war and the article should be The last sentence in this paragraph has no problem as I see. The second paragraph is also not

See also: Nagorno-Karabakh: the laborious truce between Azerbaijan and Armenia

Can this advance of the Azerbaijani army encourage Russia to intervene in this conflict since it is linked to the Armenia by an defense agreement?

Russia has announced that it will not intervene in this conflict and that it has no obligation to do so because the war is in Nagorno-Karabakh and in the territories occupied by Armenian forces. I think Russia is very concerned about the current situation. Personally, I find the advance and bombardment by Azerbaijan near the Armenian border and Iranian with the presence of Russian forces disturbing. It could really internationalize the conflict. So Azerbaijani forces should be careful with these attacks so that they do not reach Armenian territory. Because it would involve the intervention of Russia, which is linked to Armenia by this defense agreement. But Armenia and Azerbaijan have threatened each other to attack critical infrastructure. For example, Azerbaijan has said that an Armenian nuclear power plant could be a possible target, or a water tank or even a gas pipeline. It is these kinds of infrastructure attacks by Azerbaijan that could bring Russia into this conflict more quickly.

To read also listen to: Nagorno-Karabakh: "The Russian government remains officially mediator and neutral"

Nagorno-Karabakh talks planned amid Azerbaijan's offensive .
YEREVAN, Armenia (AP) — Azerbaijani forces pushed deeper into Nagorno-Karabakh on Friday as top diplomats from Armenia and Azerbaijan were scheduled to attend talks in Geneva intended to help broker an end to more than a month of heavy fighting over the separatist territory. Intense clashes were going on in the south of Nagorno-Karabakh, Armenia’s Defense Ministry said. The Azerbaijani military reported that areas in the Terter and Gubadli regions of Azerbaijan came under Armenian shelling.

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