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World Brexit Antagonism Escalates as EU, U.K. Go Another Round

15:00  03 april  2021
15:00  03 april  2021 Source:   bloomberg.com

U.K. and EU Reach First Post-Brexit Deal on Financial Rules

  U.K. and EU Reach First Post-Brexit Deal on Financial Rules Britain and the European Union took their first step since Brexit to cooperate on financial services, agreeing on a new forum to discuss market regulation. The move could help finance firms in the City of London to eventually win back some access to the single market they lost when the U.K. left the EU.The two sides have agreed a memorandum of understanding on financial services, the U.K. Treasury and European Commission said in separate statements Friday. The content and substance of the deal has been finalized, and the two sides are now working on the formal process of validation.

(Bloomberg) -- When the U.K. and European Union shook hands on a trade deal late last year, few expected the new relationship to be plain sailing. And as with many divorces, antagonism between the sides has refused to fade.

a person with graffiti on the side of a building: Graffiti on a building reads © Bloomberg Graffiti on a building reads "No Irish Sea border" in the Sandy Row area in Belfast, U.K., on Thursday, Feb. 4, 2021. On Tuesday, U.K. Cabinet Office Minister Michael Gove condemned the EU's threat to impose border checks on Northern Ireland, warning it had provoked anger on all sides of the political divide.

Among the most sensitive issues is Northern Ireland, and tensions ramped up considerably this week when the U.K. announced it will ignore some crucial obligations under the Brexit deal and the EU responded with a dramatic threat of legal action.

Brexit reality only hitting now, EU's Barnier says

  Brexit reality only hitting now, EU's Barnier says Brexit reality only hitting now, EU's Barnier saysListing the changes that Brexit has brought since Jan. 1, when Britain ended a transition out of the bloc, Barnier said trade barriers, limits on citizens' movement and work visas were inevitable.

With Prime Minister Boris Johnson already under pressure from members of his own party to rip up the Northern Ireland deal, the risk is a further escalation that erodes relations. That could have spillovers far beyond politics, and the ongoing saga is a frustration for business. The U.K.’s huge finance industry, for example, is seeing the potential for beneficial trade agreements being slowly whittled away by endless political spats.

For its part, the EU had already raised the temperature when it controversially suggested in January -- albeit briefly -- that it could use an emergency clause in the Northern Ireland deal as part of export controls on vaccines.

Read More: How a ‘Mind-Blowing’ Blunder Created a Dangerous Brexit Standoff

UK exporters consider 'worst case scenario' plans

  UK exporters consider 'worst case scenario' plans Some firms are setting up bases in the EU to better serve clients, but it is too expensive for many.An initial 41% plunge in goods going to the EU in January was described by the government as "teething problems" which it said were hard to separate out from the impact of COVID-related disruption.

European Commission Vice President Maros Sefcovic told the Financial Times on Thursday that the EU would launch legal action “very soon.” This would just be the first step in a long dispute process set down in the Brexit agreement that could last months but could ultimately impose trade tariffs or other penalties on the U.K.

Strains on the fragile compromise over Northern Ireland are particularly dangerous, threatening stability in a region that suffered decades of bloodshed. The Irish News reported that some paramilitary loyalist groups in the region are withdrawing their support for the Good Friday peace deal, which largely ended the violence.

The deal signed by Johnson avoids border checks on the island of Ireland, and keeps Northern Ireland inside the EU’s customs union and much of its single market. That means the border, and its accompanying checks, are effectively in the Irish Sea, between Northern Ireland and the rest of the U.K

N Ireland sees 3rd night of unrest amid post-Brexit tensions

  N Ireland sees 3rd night of unrest amid post-Brexit tensions LONDON (AP) — Police and politicians in Northern Ireland appealed for calm on Monday after a third night of violence that saw Protestant youths start fires and pelt officers with bricks and gasoline bombs. The flareups come amid rising tensions over post-Brexit trade rules for Northern Ireland and worsening relations between the parties in the Protestant-Catholic power-sharing Belfast government. The Police Service of Northern Ireland said officers were attacked in Londonderry on Sunday night, and there was also unrest in two pro-British unionist areas near Belfast. Police said most of those involved were teenagers.

To ease the adjustment for businesses, not all trade checks were introduced on goods moving between Northern Ireland and the rest of the U.K. at the end of the post-Brexit transition period. But now the U.K. has extended the waiver until October, beyond the March 31 date agreed with the bloc.

Ireland’s Foreign Minister Simon Coveney called the move “deeply unhelpful.” Johnson on Thursday said these were “temporary, technical measures” to help trade.

“I’m sure that with a bit of goodwill and common sense, all these issues are eminently soluble,” he said.

On Wednesday, Johnson had told Parliament the government would act as needed to ensure Northern Ireland’s position within the U.K. internal market, and “we leave nothing off the table.”

Northern Ireland is just one example of the inherent tension in the agreements that established the post-Brexit relationship. Given those needed nearly four years of complicated, bad-tempered, and at times chaotic negotiations there’s a sense of foreboding behind the scenes in London and Brussels.

Within Johnson’s Conservative Party, some members want him to invoke the agreement’s Article 16, which gives both sides the unilateral power to take action should its application create “serious economic, societal or environmental difficulties that are liable to persist, or to diversion of trade.” It’s considered by architects of the agreement on both sides as the nuclear option that was never expected to be used.

Northern Ireland sees three nights of violence as tensions build

  Northern Ireland sees three nights of violence as tensions build Violent clashes in Northern Ireland erupted over the weekend amid increasing tensions in a region historically plagued with sectarian violence. © Peter Morrison/AP A man walks past a burning car that was hijacked by Loyalists at the Cloughfern roundabout in Newtownabbey, Belfast, Northern Ireland, Saturday April 3, 2021. Masked men threw petrol bombs and hijacked cars in the Loyalist area North of Belfast. Loyalists and unionists are angry about post-Brexit trading arrangements which they claim have created barriers between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK.

Many in Brussels believe it suits Johnson’s government to constantly pick holes in the deal, in what’s ostensibly a post-Brexit manifestation of the way the U.K. blamed the EU before the split. But the EU’s blunder in January, -- which Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said she regretted -- has given the U.K. reason to push the issue.

For the U.K., there’s frustration with the stance in Brussels. One official with knowledge of the discussions said it was clear that EU figures see the issue solely through the perspective of the Republic of Ireland and are too sympathetic to Northern Ireland’s nationalist community.

Dealing with the province isn’t the only source of contention. There’s also finance, a sector vital to the U.K. economy and one that the EU would like to raid for spoils. The City of London has already seen some share and swaps trading slip away, and a slow exodus of bankers is expected to continue. Last month, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned the EU against demanding euro derivatives be settled by clearinghouses inside the bloc, saying such a move would be a “very serious escalation.”

The two sides have also bickered over a ban on shellfish exports. And Johnson’s government is standing alone in the world in refusing to grant full diplomatic status to the EU’s ambassador in London.

Northern Ireland riots: Bus torched in more Belfast violence as British and Irish leaders call for calm

  Northern Ireland riots: Bus torched in more Belfast violence as British and Irish leaders call for calm Parts of Northern Ireland saw their sixth consecutive night of violence Wednesday as unionists and nationalists clashed with police and each other. © Charles McQuillan/Getty Images Europe/Getty Images Rioters clash at the Peace Gate at the Springfield Road/Lanark Way interface on April 7, 2021 in Belfast, Northern Ireland. Unrest first broke out last week amid rising tensions relating to Brexit and unionist anger over a decision by police not to prosecute leaders of the Irish nationalist party Sinn Fein for allegedly breaking coronavirus restrictions during the funeral of a former leading IRA figure.

Adding to the tension is the appointment of David Frost, formerly Johnson’s chief negotiator, as a minister in charge of relations with the EU. He’s considered a hardliner who, in private meetings in Brussels, has made clear his dislike for the Northern Ireland Protocol, despite helping to negotiate it. He has also several times spoken of the need to prioritize sovereignty over short-term economic benefits.

Mujtaba Rahman, director of political risk consultancy Eurasia, summed it up recently in a note to clients: “Permanent conflict will be the new normal.”

Read More:
Brexit-Free Budget Drops EU Access for Finance Down the AgendaThe City of London Is Now at the Mercy of Brexit’s Tug of WarHow Brexit Talks Finally Overcame Suspicion, Resentment and Fish

(Updates with Sefcovic comment in fifth paragraph.)

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Brexit Britain’s Biggest Test Might Be the Ability to Survive .
Leaving the EU has hardened the divisions between the U.K.’s constituent nations and there’s a growing sense that things will come to a head.Prime Minister Boris Johnson has a fondness for grand projects, but few are as eye-catching as the proposal for a physical link over the Irish Sea between Scotland and Northern Ireland.

usr: 0
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