World Trudeau Holds Slight Election Edge, With Help From His Opponents
4 Times Justin Trudeau Impressed, and 5 Times he Disappointed
As Justin Trudeau seeks a new term in office in Canada's upcoming election, we look at the highs and lows of the prime minister's political career.Trudeau called the election in mid-August hoping to capitalize on his government's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic to secure a third term. But the short election campaign has instead raised some hope for Canada's Conservative Party, headed by Erin O'Toole.
(Bloomberg) -- Justin Trudeau and his Conservative rival are nearly tied heading into the final weekend of Canada’s, leaving the prime minister with decent odds of holding on to power.
The incumbent Liberal Party has about 32% support compared to 30% for the Tories under Erin O’Toole, according to the latestby Nanos Research Group. The left-leaning New Democratic Party is in third at 20%.
Unless those numbers shift significantly, a third term is within reach for Trudeau, who called the Sept. 20 vote in hopes of leveraging his management of the Covid-19 crisis into control of a majority of seats in the House of Commons.
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It seemed like shrewd politics when Justin Trudeau decided to call an early election in mid-August. © Provided by Washington Examiner He had a poll lead of nearly seven points, his government was thought to have handled the coronavirus pandemic well, and unemployment was falling. The Conservatives, meanwhile, were in disarray, with right-wing columnists having little time for the party leader, Erin O’Toole.Scandals, including the leak of a decades-old photograph of Trudeau wearing blackface, were disappearing in the rear-view mirror.
A majority is unlikely after his opponents successfully portrayed the move as an. But Trudeau’s campaign appears to have regained momentum in recent days, and a resurgence of a Quebec nationalist party and the rise of a may help him.
“We expect a Liberal minority at this point,” said Greg Lyle, president of Innovative Research Group, a polling and consultancy firm with offices in Toronto and Vancouver.
Lyle’s survey this week puts Trudeau, but he expects both the Liberals and Conservatives will lose a few seats from their 2019 tally. Trudeau’s biggest mistake, Lyle said, was calling the election in the first place. “That is their fundamental issue.”
EXPLAINER: What are the issues in Canada's close election?
TORONTO (AP) — Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is facing a tough battle against his Conservative Party rival, Erin O’Toole, in Canadian elections on Monday. Trudeau called the early election in hopes of winning a majority of seats in Parliament, but has faced criticism for calling a vote during a pandemic in order to cement his hold on power. Here's a guide to Monday's election: _____ WHAT’S AT STAKE? Trudeau and his Liberal Party could lose power to the Conservative Party after six years in office.
But the pollster argued that O’Toole, who ran a low-key campaign focused onof the Conservative Party in hopes of broadening its appeal, had a bigger challenge.
“The Tories are trying to change their brand, to improve it by being seen as center-right as opposed to right,” Lyle said. “They’ve had some success in that but not enough because brands are hard to move.”
O’Toole sprinted out of the gates, releasing athe day after Trudeau asked to . Heading into the first weekend of September, the Conservatives opened up a lead; Nanos Research founder Nik Nanos described the Tory leader as a “ .”
Having tried to use vaccines as an early wedge issue against the Conservatives, the Liberals then hammered O’Toole on gun control and abortion. They also capitalized on the Tory leader’s promise that, if elected, he’d dial back Trudeau’s ambitious climate targets.
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Gains the Conservativesin Quebec after its popular premier backed O’Toole were thrown into doubt after a televised debate. The moderator asked Bloc Quebecois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet about laws she said “marginalize religious minorities, anglophones and allophones.” That set off a firestorm in the majority French-speaking province that appears to have helped the separatist party.
The Conservatives “vie for the same voters as the Bloc,” said Sebastien Dallaire, a vice president at polling firm Ipsos in Montreal. “What happened last week gave Blanchet’s campaign a new wind, so that may prevent Conservative momentum.”
Another challenge for the Tories has been a surge in support for the People’s Party of Canada, whose leader, Maxime Bernier, has railed against vaccine mandates and public-health restrictions.
Though it’s never successfully elected a lawmaker, the PPC is now polling above 7%, according the Nanos daily tracking. That’s enough to have the Toronto Sun, a conservative newspaper, warning on itsthat a vote for Bernier risks helping Trudeau secure another term in office.
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Canada election up in air with one week to go .
Will Canada's Liberal leader Justin Trudeau win a third term as prime minister or will Conservative leader Erin O'Toole ruin his plans? With a week to go before crucial snap legislative elections called by Trudeau himself, the two parties are virtually tied. As the last week of campaigning kicks into high gear, the most recent polls show the Liberals and Conservatives each with 30-34 percent of the vote, and the leftist New Democratic Party with about 20 percent. Smaller parties account for the remainder.