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World The US's refusal to accept reality in Ukraine could get a lot of people killed

10:35  24 november  2021
10:35  24 november  2021 Source:   businessinsider.com

U.S., NATO, EU Rally to Support Ukraine as Russia Masses Troops on Border

  U.S., NATO, EU Rally to Support Ukraine as Russia Masses Troops on Border "The best way to deter an aggressive Russia is to make it clear for the Kremlin that Ukraine is strong, but also that it has strong allies who will not leave it alone in the face of Moscow's ever-increasing aggressiveness," Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said.While Russia continues to claim that nothing is out of the ordinary, Ukraine is calling on its allies for support and protection.

a person wearing a suit and tie sitting on a bench: President Joe Biden with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in the Oval Office, September 1, 2021 AP © AP President Joe Biden with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in the Oval Office, September 1, 2021 AP
  • US officials continue offering security assurances to Ukraine amid escalating Russian military pressure.
  • Biden must honestly assess if it's worth starting a war over a territory with little significance to US security.
  • Sascha Glaeser is a research associate at Defense Priorities.

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken recently met with his Ukrainian counterpart Dmytro Kuleba in Washington and declared that the US commitment to Ukraine's security and territorial integrity is "ironclad."

US seeks balance as fears grow Russia may invade Ukraine

  US seeks balance as fears grow Russia may invade Ukraine WASHINGTON (AP) — The buildup of Russian troops near Ukraine has left U.S. officials perplexed, muddying the Biden administration’s response. Some Republican lawmakers have been pressing the U.S. to step up military support for Ukraine. But that risks turning what may be mere muscle-flexing by Russian President Vladimir Putin into a full-blown confrontation that only adds to the peril for Ukraine and could trigger an energy crisis in Europe. ButSome Republican lawmakers have been pressing the U.S. to step up military support for Ukraine.

The meeting between the two officials came as Moscow stationed 90,000 troops near the Ukrainian border, leading many to fear that a large-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine could be imminent. Ukraine has been mired in a war with Russia and Russian-backed separatists in the eastern Donbas region of the country since 2014.

Blinken's comments are just the latest example of a top Biden administration official failing to accept the geopolitical reality of Ukraine.

In September, President Joe Biden met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and reiterated that "the United States remains firmly committed to Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity in the face of Russian aggression." A joint statement released after that meeting declared "the United States supports Ukraine's right to decide its own future foreign policy course free from outside interference, including with respect to Ukraine's aspirations to join NATO."

Russia Ramps Up War Rhetoric Against Ukraine as West Fears Imminent Invasion

  Russia Ramps Up War Rhetoric Against Ukraine as West Fears Imminent Invasion Russian claims of fearsome provocations from Ukraine match prior instances in which the Kremlin used self defense as a pretext to war.Through a series of public statements and posts through its state news services, leaders in Russia on Monday presented the unified case that Ukraine was needlessly deploying its military forces to challenge Russia’s sovereignty and its nearby interests, that rising concern in the West of military action by Moscow represents only an attempt by Kyiv to mask its own intentions to do so, that the Western-backed peace process for the conflict in Ukraine is broken and that Kyiv’s allies in Europe and North America are not prepared to back up their

Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said the same during a visit to Kyiv in October.

a man in a military vehicle: Ukrainian soldiers on the frontline outside the eastern Ukrainian city of Debaltseve, in the Donetsk region, December 24, 2014. SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP via Getty Images © SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP via Getty Images Ukrainian soldiers on the frontline outside the eastern Ukrainian city of Debaltseve, in the Donetsk region, December 24, 2014. SERGEI SUPINSKY/AFP via Getty Images

Is Biden really prepared to send young American men and women to fight and die over Ukraine? This kind of rhetoric from the Biden administration does not serve US interests and counterproductively increases the risk of the United States being dragged into a war with Russia.

By continuing to provide quasi-security guarantees to Ukraine, Washington is playing a dangerous game of escalation with Moscow. Russia's deployment of 90,000 troops near the Ukrainian border is likely Moscow calling Washington's bluff.

The United States has provided $2.5 billion in military aid to Ukraine since hostilities broke out. Despite this significant investment, the war has continued because the underlying geopolitical causes of the conflict have not been addressed — namely Russia's concern that Ukraine will be granted NATO membership.

EXPLAINER: Is Russia going to invade Ukraine?

  EXPLAINER: Is Russia going to invade Ukraine? MOSCOW (AP) — Ukrainian and Western officials are worried that a Russian military buildup near Ukraine could signal plans by Moscow to invade its ex-Soviet neighbor. The Kremlin insists it has no such intention and has accused Ukraine and its Western backers of making the claims to cover up their own allegedly aggressive designs. It’s unclear whether the Russian troop concentration heralds an imminent attack or represents an attempt by Russian President Vladimir Putin to persuade the U.S. and its NATO allies to refrain from sending soldiers and weapons to Ukraine, and drop plans for its eventual integration into NATO.


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Moscow fears Ukraine's accession into the alliance will result in US and NATO troops stationed directly on Russia's border. Moscow views the prevention of this outcome as a vital strategic interest and will do whatever is necessary to achieve its objective — including direct military intervention in Ukraine.

Indeed, Russian President Vladimir Putin has made it clear that NATO expansion in Ukraine would cross a "red line." Crossing that red line risks a sudden Russian attack on Ukraine which has the potential to escalate out of control.

With Russia already at war in eastern Ukraine, adding Kyiv to the alliance could result in catastrophe. NATO's collective-defense clause could require the United States and all other NATO allies to militarily defend Ukraine.

Given the risk of nuclear escalation, the Biden administration must honestly assess if it is worth starting World War III over a territory with little significance to overall US security.

Russia's buildup of troops near Ukraine sparks fears of attack: Analysis

  Russia's buildup of troops near Ukraine sparks fears of attack: Analysis The Russian buildup of troops near Ukraine has triggered the worst fears of a major Russian military incursion since 2014. Fears of invasion are greater now than at any time since Moscow first seized Crimea in 2014.

a close up of a large ship in the water: Russian landing ships and military vehicles during an exercise at the Opuk training ground in Crimea, April 22, 2021. Sergei Malgavko\TASS via Getty Images © Sergei Malgavko\TASS via Getty Images Russian landing ships and military vehicles during an exercise at the Opuk training ground in Crimea, April 22, 2021. Sergei Malgavko\TASS via Getty Images

Russia has proven that it is willing to bear significant monetary and human costs to prevent a western-aligned Ukraine. Years of tough economic sanctions and the estimated loss of several hundred Russian soldiers has done little to change Russia's objectives in Ukraine.

Unlike Russia, the United States simply does not have a strong enough interest in Ukraine worth risking a potential nuclear war over.

Ending the conflict will require a comprehensive political settlement that takes Russia's geopolitical anxiety into account. One may not agree with Moscow's security concerns; however, it is necessary to address them in pursuit of a peaceful resolution. Such a settlement should see Ukraine's territorial sovereignty restored and position Ukraine as a neutral buffer state, neither aligned with Russia nor the West.

A neutral Ukraine would not seek membership in NATO or any Russian security institution, nor would it allow either side to station military forces on its territory. Instead, this policy would reflect Ukraine's precarious geographical reality of being a large, but relatively weak, state situated between Russia and NATO Europe.

It is natural to feel sympathy for Ukraine's unfortunate circumstances. Continued US military aid and offering Ukraine false hopes that NATO will come to its defense only prolong the conflict and increase the risk of war between the United States and Russia.

Working toward a realistic resolution in the form of a neutral and non-aligned Ukraine could provide an opportunity for the world's two largest nuclear powers to form a stable and predictable relationship. The Biden administration would be wise to reverse its current escalatory course with Russia and pursue a US-Ukraine policy that actually increases US security.

Sascha Glaeser is a research associate at Defense Priorities. He focuses on US grand strategy, international security, and transatlantic relations. He holds a master's in international public affairs and a bachelor's in international studies from the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Read the original article on Business Insider

Ukraine on High Alert as Threat of Russia-Backed Coup Looms .
Amid persistent threats from an encircling Russian military, Ukraine’s top diplomat warns that an invasion would be accompanied by ‘systemic and bold attempts’ to destabilize Kyiv.Speaking to reporters early Monday, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba said his country’s law enforcement agencies were still studying the intelligence Zelenskiy cited during a press conference the previous week. The reports indicate that a billionaire Ukrainian oligarch may try to seize power with Russia’s support on Dec. 1 or 2. Kuleba said his government would have more details to reveal soon.

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