World Britain and France must give Iran a deadline
Channel migrant deaths: Smugglers net millions per kilometer
CALAIS, France (AP) — The price to cross the English Channel varies according to the network of smugglers, between 3,000 and 7,000 euros. Often, the fee also includes a very short-term tent rental in the windy dunes of northern France and food cooked over fires that sputter in the rain that falls for more than half the month of November in the Calais region. Sometimes, but not always, it includes a life vest and fuel for the outboard motor. AndOften, the fee also includes a very short-term tent rental in the windy dunes of northern France and food cooked over fires that sputter in the rain that falls for more than half the month of November in the Calais region.
Negotiations toward restoring the 2015 Iran nuclear accord are going nowhere fast.
If that's going to change, British and French diplomats will have to give Iran a deadline to get serious about compromising or face a massively escalated sanctions regime.
The current strategy borders on a farce.
European diplomats left newly commenced talks in Vienna on Friday, lamenting Iran's disdain for compromise. Delayed for months by Iranian elections and the subsequent coronation of hard-liner, the Vienna talks were supposed to facilitate a rapid restoration of the nuclear deal.
Iran nuclear talks to restart as US emphasizes it's 'prepared to use other options' if diplomacy fails
The US and its allies restart Iran nuclear talks on Monday unsure how Tehran's new government will approach negotiations, not optimistic about the prospects ahead and emphasizing that if diplomacy fails, the US is "prepared to use other options."The US and its allies restart Iran nuclear talks on Monday unsure how Tehran's new government will approach negotiations, not optimistic about the prospects ahead and emphasizing that if diplomacy fails, the US is "prepared to use other options.
It's not happening.
Instead, British, French, and German diplomatsjournalist Barak Ravid that "Iran is backtracking on almost all of the difficult compromises reached in months of tough negotiations and is demanding substantial changes to the text." Iran is apparently also demanding immediate sanctions relief in return for its reduced compliance with enrichment caps and inspection protocols. Evincing Tehran's confidence, senior cleric Ahmad Khatami used his Friday prayer sermon to insist that Iran "will accept nothing but the removal of all cruel and oppressive sanctions imposed against the country."
Put another way, negotiations are at a dead end.
It is obvious that Iran is. Re-centered with its most hard-liner faction, the revolutionary regime is enriching uranium at a scale and purity far beyond the proscribed limits of the 2015 accord. Veiled as satellite research, Iranian ballistic missile development also continues unabated. Making matters worse, it is highly likely that Iran is covertly developing nuclear warhead and delivery vehicle technology. Oh, and Iran is now warning that unless it gets its way in Vienna, it will start enriching uranium to weapons-grade purity. At that point, will get very unpleasant. And Mohammed bin Salman will be watching very carefully from Saudi Arabia, ready to call in Pakistan to give him a Sunni nuclear bomb.
Camped in Calais, migrants renew resolve to try for England
CALAIS, France (AP) — At the makeshift camps in France near Calais and Dunkirk, migrants are digging in, waiting for their chance to make a dash across the English Channel despite the deaths of at least 27 people this week when their boat sank a few miles (kilometers) from the French coast. Police have stepped up patrols in recent days and the weather has worsened, making this a bad time to attempt a crossing. But most migrants say the tragedy won’t prevent them from climbing into a flimsy inflatable boat packed with up to 50 people in hopes of reaching Britain.
With the United States sitting on the sidelines, Britain and France need to give diplomacy a booster shot. Prime Minister Boris Johnson and French President Emmanuel Macron should make clear to Iran that it has a matter of weeks, perhaps three weeks, to reach an accord toward a restored nuclear agreement. They should warn that absent that timely accord, wide-ranging sanctions will be imposed on Iran. China and Russia are unlikely to agree to new sanctions, but if Johnson and Macron lead, new German Chancellor Olaf Scholz may follow.
While Iran's leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei appears predisposed to negotiating hardball, his decrepit economy cannot easily withstand expanded sanctions. The regime is struggling to pay even its most loyal and nominally revered supporters: the families of martyrs. Were the U.S. and European Union to lock Iran out of Western financial sectors and further restrict Iran's export market, Khamenei would face the risk of resumed social disorder. In that scenario, the regime's need to survive would exist in mutual exclusivity with its desire to extract a one-sided agreement.
What Russia, China, Iran Want in Afghanistan When U.S. Troops Leave
Russia, China and Iran seek to ensure stability in Afghanistan while securing their own interests, as friendly ties with Kabul are tested by a desire to engage with the powerful Taliban movement that has retaken much of the country. RussiaFor Russia, this means stepping up to a longstanding engagement in a country where it has a modern history of intervention and withdrawal.The 1980s Soviet attempt to defend a communist government in Kabul was met with fierce resistance by local and foreign mujahideen fighters, who received support from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and the United States.
If they care about salvaging diplomacy, it's time for Britain and France to play hardball.
Washington Examiner Videos
Tags:, , , , , , , , , ,
Iran torches tentative plans to restore nuclear deal in abortive return to Vienna talks .
A seventh round of negotiations to rehabilitate the 2015 Iran nuclear deal floundered this week after the regime renounced the tentative agreements struck over the previous six rounds of meetings. © Provided by Washington Examiner “Iran, right now, does not seem to be serious about doing what's necessary to return to compliance, which is why we ended this round of talks,” Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Friday during the Reuters NEXT Virtual Global Conference. “We will see if Iran has any interest in engaging seriously, but the window is very, very tight.” U.S.