World crisis around Ukraine: The turnaround of Alexander Lukashenko

11:28  27 january  2022
11:28  27 january  2022 Source:   sueddeutsche.de

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Belarus has long supported Ukraine, but now it is firmly allied with Russia. This increases the worries in Kiev and Washington.

Russlands Präsident Wladimir Putin und der belarussische Staatschef Alexander Lukaschenko bei einer gemeinsamen Pressekonferenz im Kreml im Herbst 2021. © Shamil Zhumatov / AFP Russian President Vladimir Putin and the Belarusian head of state Alexander Lukashenko at a joint press conference in the Kremlin in the fall 2021. The turnaround of Alexander Lukashenko

The warnings to the east are hardly countable, but this time Washington did not mean Moscow this time . It's Minsk. The US State Department threatened on Tuesday with a "decisive answer," Belarus should help his allied Russia to engage in Ukraine.

For years, the Belarussian ruler Alexander Lukashenko had strained the nerves in the Kremlin because he even criticized Russia as the US, because he emphasized the good, friendly relationship with the neighbor Ukraine, the Crimean annexion did not recognize because he offered himself as an intermediary Minsk peace process. The Ukrainian leaders knew: it can be reasonably counted on Lukashenko, as this himself fought for the sovereignty of his country and feared, Russia could also break Belarus.

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But since the obviously manipulated presidential election before one and a half years, the situation has changed radically. Belarus is still more dependent on its Brother State of Russia, it has now recognized the Crimean Annexion, while many Belarussian regime critics are fled into Ukraine and build a new life there. Kiev and the west are now worried that in the north, Belarus, could build another threat, in the worst case even a her own front.

"Belarus is now fully with the Russian escalation campaign against Ukraine," says an analysis of the American Institute Atlantic Council. Russia is just about to enlarge his "military footprint in Belarus", as Moscow announced, twelve fighting jets, two units of the S-400 air defense system and another defense system to Belarus. Even with cyber attacks, the land "Putin's little helper" is written to the Atlantic Council.

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Belarusian hackers want Russian retreat

background is that Lukashenko and KremlChef Vladimir Putin agreed in December a common Russian-Belarusian military maneuver, which should take place from 10 to 20 February. His name: Sojusnaja Reschimostj, for example: Allied determination. That alone should not trigger anxiety in the Ukrainian lead, because there are military exercises of various kinds in the region already longer. It is rather Lukashenko's sharp tone, which has aligned himself to the Putin.

"It hurts us to see what happens in Ukraine," said the Minsk ruler, "her political leadership, which is controlled from the outside, sometimes behaves unpredictable and irrational. That's why we have to be ready for this unpredictability and, God's behavior , military actions. " Russia has annexed the Crimea, has been supporting the separatists in the Eastern Ukraine for years, has gathered more than 100,000 soldiers at the Ukrainian border - and Lukashenko fears an attack of Ukraine. According to his words: the foreign-controlled Ukraine.

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Belarus is different: 23 000 soldiers in western and southern neighborhood plus 10,000 NATO soldiers and 300 tanks mean that "our country has to respond to these challenges," as the Belarusian head of government Viktor Gorwitsch said the State Agency Belta. A report of the Lukasho-faithful propaganda newspaper Belarus today compares Ukraine with a failed state in Africa, in which "puppets" are in power. The name of the Kiev Mayor Vitali Klitschko also fell.

The Ukrainian President Wolodimir Selenskij has so far left; Obviously, he does not believe that Belarus breaks completely with his southern neighbor, especially since electricity supplies both countries joined together. Speculation, Russia could station atomic weapons in Belarus, SELENSKIJ is unlikely. With such things you do not play, and if, if he then knew at least, where part of the Russian atomic parent is available.

Some helpers in the heavy crisis seem to have Ukraine in the rest of the Belaruses themselves. The newspaper Kyiv Post reported on Wednesday, an oppositional Belarussian hacker group called CyberPartisan had successfully attacked the network of Belarussian State Railways. She is about the destruction of data and two demands: the release of all political prisoners - and the retreat of Russian troops from Belarus.

Biden warns of rare personal sanctions on Putin .
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This is interesting!